Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 9.741001e-01 1.190458 1.421969 1.685999 1.976746 2.285295 2.635668
2024-10-20 6.470859e-01 0.927613 1.253385 1.650433 2.112896 2.627176 3.235259
2024-10-27 5.540757e-01 0.880897 1.280045 1.785189 2.391321 3.081371 3.913243
2024-11-03 4.757723e-01 0.835898 1.296772 1.899567 2.641105 3.501485 4.554635
2024-11-10 4.176940e-01 0.803875 1.318818 2.011096 2.879929 3.903079 5.170173
2024-11-17 3.705796e-01 0.778148 1.342629 2.120139 3.112793 4.296359 5.776253
2024-11-24 3.114850e-01 0.724300 1.321065 2.164820 3.261523 4.585882 6.257928
2024-12-01 2.515081e-01 0.658133 1.274552 2.170485 3.356541 4.807143 6.656124
2024-12-08 1.853505e-01 0.567716 1.183253 2.107859 3.357989 4.909015 6.906988
2024-12-15 1.328501e-01 0.488163 1.098621 2.046753 3.355400 5.001352 7.142692
2024-12-22 9.648128e-02 0.429283 1.038655 2.014512 3.386199 5.131916 7.422254
2024-12-29 7.704543e-02 0.401582 1.025810 2.048071 3.503695 5.371540 7.836367
2025-01-05 5.448293e-02 0.360174 0.989853 2.051822 3.589199 5.582459 8.231824
2025-01-12 3.368326e-02 0.311362 0.935025 2.023811 3.629863 5.736249 8.558237
2025-01-19 3.215713e-02 0.324096 0.993389 2.170990 3.915270 6.208692 9.286526
2025-01-26 2.929131e-02 0.330809 1.040271 2.300692 4.177179 6.652010 9.980241
2025-02-02 2.630880e-02 0.335728 1.083432 2.424726 4.431720 7.086681 10.664480
2025-02-09 2.347473e-02 0.339932 1.124983 2.546474 4.683730 7.519123 11.347478
2025-02-16 1.693575e-02 0.322672 1.122122 2.596121 4.832811 7.816291 11.859349
2025-02-23 1.004424e-02 0.294505 1.093777 2.602450 4.918656 8.029354 12.264061
2025-03-02 3.464259e-03 0.248769 1.021835 2.532743 4.891727 8.090664 12.473439
2025-03-09 5.264377e-04 0.208269 0.953858 2.464654 4.863517 8.147598 12.675088
2025-03-16 7.198499e-08 0.179411 0.907064 2.428691 4.879303 8.260777 12.946390